House Price Predictor - HousePrices.uk.net/iPhone

House Price Predictor
House Prices: HBOS and Kalman Estimated, forward property derivatives
House Price Inflation: Equivalent Annualised, HBOS MoM and Kalman Estimated
Annual Percentage Change: HBOS YoY and Kalman HPI shifted forwards by six months. Good predictor of HBOS outcome YoY
Estimated Level of BoE Approvals consistent with neutral HPI.

Our house price predictor is designed to provide a robust and timely estimate of the current state of the UK housing market. It does this by combining observations of both prices and BoE mortgage approvals, a proxy for transactions, using Kalman techniques, an approach that avoids the difficulties of trying to measure small changes in noisy price data over short times. Also included are the Tradition Future HPI forward prices based on property derivative trading. For more details and methodology visit HousePrices.uk.net/house_price_predictor.